XL: XL HOLDINGS BERHAD (7121)

XL

7121 S

0.735 ↑

XL

7121

XL HOLDINGS BERHAD KLSE Summary

Main Market : Consumer Services

0.735 ↑

0.010 (1.4%)

View more market depths

High	0.740
Low	0.720
Open	0.720
Volume	1,755,700
Volume (B/S)	59,100 / 5,000
Price Bid/Ask	0.725 / 0.735

52w	0.495 - 0.750
ROE	3.77
P/E	41.53
EPS	1.77
DPS
DY	0.00%

NTA	0.4700
P/B	1.56
RPS	23.17
PSR	3.17
Market Cap	335.4M
Shares (mil)	456.34

CAGR

3Y 340.6% TTM 102.9%

5Y 71.1% TTM 358.2%

RSI(14)	Neutral 64.3
Stochastic(14)	Overbought 92.3
Stochastic RSI(14)	Oversold 0.0
Average Volume (3M)	4,250,000
Relative Volume	1.7

30-days Price Larger Chart Technical Charting

EPS	DPS	NTA	Revenue	P/L	Quarter	Q Date	Financial Year	Announced	ROE	QoQ%	YoY%	Report
30 Apr, 2026
0.4200	0.000	0.4700	25.3m	1.9m	2	2025-10-31	30 Apr, 2026	2025-12-29	0.9%	7.9%	30%
0.4600	0.000	0.4700	45.4m	2.0m	1	2025-07-31	30 Apr, 2026	2025-09-30	1.0%	27.2%	35.8%
30 Apr, 2025
0.6300	0.000	0.5400	17.9m	2.8m	4	2025-04-30	30 Apr, 2025	2025-06-30	1.2%	99.5%	29%
0.3200	0.000	0.5500	17.1m	1.4m	3	2025-01-31	30 Apr, 2025	2025-03-28	0.6%	47.6%	8.3%
0.7500	0.000	0.6000	42.0m	2.7m	2	2024-10-31	30 Apr, 2025	2024-12-30	1.3%	15.6%	189.8%
1.0500	0.000	0.6400	32.0m	3.2m	1	2024-07-31	30 Apr, 2025	2024-09-30	1.6%	19.5%	168.6%
30 Apr, 2024
1.4700	0.000	0.7200	20.8m	3.9m	4	2024-04-30	30 Apr, 2024	2024-06-28	2.0%	204.5%	10.5%
0.5100	0.000	0.6500	14.4m	1.3m	3	2024-01-31	30 Apr, 2024	2024-03-25	0.8%	40.1%	7.3%
0.3700	0.000	0.6500	15.3m	920.0k	2	2023-10-31	30 Apr, 2024	2023-12-28	0.6%	21.8%	1294.8%
0.4900	0.000	0.6200	20.1m	1.2m	1	2023-07-31	30 Apr, 2024	2023-10-10	0.8%	66.9%	149.7%
30 Apr, 2023
1.4900	0.000	0.6400	15.1m	3.6m	-	2023-04-30	30 Apr, 2023	2023-06-30	2.3%	155.5%	1182.3%
0.5900	0.000	0.5900	10.5m	1.4m	-	2023-01-31	30 Apr, 2023	2023-03-30	1.0%	1905.2%	363.3%
-0.0400	0.000	0.6100	15.1m	-77.0k	-	2022-10-31	30 Apr, 2023	2022-12-28	-0.1%	116.3%	200%
31 Jan, 2023
0.2200	0.000	0.6300	19.2m	471.0k	2	2022-07-31	31 Jan, 2023	2022-09-27	0.3%	72.5%	50.5%
0.1500	0.000	0.6900	24.5m	273.0k	1	2022-04-30	31 Jan, 2023	2022-06-29	0.2%	9%	147.6%
31 Jan, 2022
0.2300	0.000	0.8000	27.7m	300.0k	4	2022-01-31	31 Jan, 2022	2022-03-29	0.3%	289.6%	809.1%
0.0800	0.000	0.7500	22.2m	77.0k	3	2021-10-31	31 Jan, 2022	2021-12-22	0.1%	75.4%	71.3%
0.3300	0.000	0.6300	28.7m	313.0k	2	2021-07-31	31 Jan, 2022	2021-09-28	0.5%	154.6%	28.4%
-0.6000	0.000	0.6200	5.6m	-573.0k	1	2021-04-30	31 Jan, 2022	2021-06-24	-1.0%	1836.4%	112.2%
31 Jan, 2021
0.0400	0.000	0.5900	5.7m	33.0k	4	2021-01-31	31 Jan, 2021	2021-03-26	0.1%	87.7%	107.7%
0.3400	0.000	0.6200	7.7m	268.0k	3	2020-10-31	31 Jan, 2021	2020-12-21	0.5%	38.7%	151.6%
0.5500	0.000	0.6100	8.0m	437.0k	2	2020-07-31	31 Jan, 2021	2020-09-23	0.9%	261.9%	740.4%
-0.3400	0.000	0.6100	6.4m	-270.0k	1	2020-04-30	31 Jan, 2021	2020-06-29	-0.6%	37.4%	347.7%
31 Jan, 2020
-0.5400	0.000	0.6100	4.3m	-431.0k	4	2020-01-31	31 Jan, 2020	2020-03-27	-0.9%	17%	12.9%
-0.6500	0.000	0.6200	3.1m	-519.0k	3	2019-10-31	31 Jan, 2020	2019-12-30	-1.0%	1098.1%	78.4%
0.0700	0.000	0.6200	3.3m	52.0k	2	2019-07-31	31 Jan, 2020	2019-09-25	0.1%	52.3%	236.8%
0.1400	0.000	0.6200	3.3m	109.0k	1	2019-04-30	31 Jan, 2020	2019-06-27	0.2%	122%	207.9%
31 Jan, 2019
-0.6200	0.000	0.6300	3.3m	-495.0k	4	2019-01-31	31 Jan, 2019	2019-03-27	-1.0%	70.1%	210.5%
-0.3600	0.000	0.6200	3.2m	-291.0k	3	2018-10-31	31 Jan, 2019	2018-12-21	-0.6%	665.8%	1219.2%
-0.0500	0.000	0.6300	3.3m	-38.0k	2	2018-07-31	31 Jan, 2019	2018-09-26	-0.1%	62.4%	91.1%
-0.1300	0.000	0.6300	3.2m	-101.0k	1	2018-04-30	31 Jan, 2019	2018-06-28	-0.2%	122.5%	406.1%
31 Jan, 2018
0.5600	0.000	0.6200	3.6m	448.0k	4	2018-01-31	31 Jan, 2018	2018-03-22	0.9%	1623.1%	49.3%
0.0300	0.000	0.6200	3.3m	26.0k	3	2017-10-31	31 Jan, 2018	2017-12-21	0.0%	106.1%	103.9%
-0.5900	0.000	0.6000	3.0m	-428.0k	2	2017-07-31	31 Jan, 2018	2017-09-26	-1.0%	1397%	79%
0.0500	0.000	0.6000	3.3m	33.0k	1	2017-04-30	31 Jan, 2018	2017-06-23	0.1%	89%	102.2%
31 Jan, 2017
0.4100	0.000	0.6000	2.9m	300.0k	4	2017-01-31	31 Jan, 2017	2017-03-28	0.7%	144.8%	180.9%
-0.9200	0.000	0.6000	2.8m	-670.0k	3	2016-10-31	31 Jan, 2017	2016-12-23	-1.5%	67.1%	189.1%
-2.8000	0.000	0.6100	2.4m	-2.0m	2	2016-07-31	31 Jan, 2017	2016-09-30	-4.6%	38.7%	679%
-2.0200	0.000	0.6400	2.9m	-1.5m	1	2016-04-30	31 Jan, 2017	2016-06-24	-3.2%	296%	4838.7%
31 Jan, 2016
-0.5100	0.000	0.6600	2.6m	-371.0k	4	2016-01-31	31 Jan, 2016	2016-03-28	-0.8%	149.3%	186.3%
1.0300	0.000	0.6600	4.0m	752.0k	3	2015-10-31	31 Jan, 2016	2015-12-28	1.6%	113.6%	1828.2%
0.4800	0.000	0.6500	3.6m	352.0k	2	2015-07-31	31 Jan, 2016	2015-09-28	0.7%	1035.5%	56.4%
0.0400	0.000	0.6500	2.7m	31.0k	1	2015-04-30	31 Jan, 2016	2015-06-24	0.1%	92.8%	116.2%
31 Jan, 2015
0.5900	0.000	0.6500	3.3m	430.0k	4	2015-01-31	31 Jan, 2015	2015-03-26	0.9%	1002.6%	28.2%	-
0.0500	0.000	0.6400	3.1m	39.0k	3	2014-10-31	31 Jan, 2015	2014-12-30	0.1%	82.7%	113.3%
0.3100	0.000	0.6400	3.2m	225.0k	2	2014-07-31	31 Jan, 2015	2014-09-25	0.5%	217.8%	150.8%
-0.2600	0.000	0.6400	3.2m	-191.0k	1	2014-04-30	31 Jan, 2015	2014-06-26	-0.4%	131.9%	81.6%
31 Jan, 2014
0.8200	0.000	0.6400	2.8m	599.0k	4	2014-01-31	31 Jan, 2014	2014-03-26	1.3%	304.4%	105.2%
-0.4000	0.000	0.6400	2.7m	-293.0k	3	2013-10-31	31 Jan, 2014	2013-12-26	-0.6%	33.9%	89.8%
-0.6100	0.000	0.6500	2.6m	-443.0k	2	2013-07-31	31 Jan, 2014	2013-09-27	-0.9%	57.2%	121.4%
-1.4200	0.000	0.6500	2.7m	-1.0m	1	2013-04-30	31 Jan, 2014	2013-06-26	-2.2%	91%	1051.1%
31 Jan, 2013
-15.9000	0.000	0.6700	2.1m	-11.6m	4	2013-01-31	31 Jan, 2013	2013-03-29	-23.7%	301.9%	174%
-3.9600	0.000	0.9100	3.4m	-2.9m	3	2012-10-31	31 Jan, 2013	2012-12-26	-4.4%	239.2%	95.1%
2.8400	0.000	0.9500	3.5m	2.1m	2	2012-07-31	31 Jan, 2013	2012-09-25	3.0%	2395.6%	257.5%
-0.1200	0.000	0.9200	4.0m	-90.0k	1	2012-04-30	31 Jan, 2013	2012-06-29	-0.1%	101.7%	94%
31 Jan, 2012
7.3500	0.000	0.9200	2.8m	5.3m	4	2012-01-31	31 Jan, 2012	2012-03-28	8.0%	109.1%	1485.2%
-80.8100	0.000	0.8500	4.9m	-58.8m	3	2011-10-31	31 Jan, 2012	2011-12-27	-95.1%	4378%	9381.4%
-1.8000	0.000	1.6500	3.5m	-1.3m	2	2011-07-31	31 Jan, 2012	2011-09-26	-1.1%	13.2%	8.9%
-2.0800	0.000	1.6700	3.7m	-1.5m	1	2011-04-30	31 Jan, 2012	2011-06-23	-1.2%	548.7%	194.7%
31 Jan, 2011
0.4600	0.000	1.6900	5.3m	337.0k	4	2011-01-31	31 Jan, 2011	2011-03-28	0.3%	46.8%	125%
0.8700	0.000	1.6900	5.1m	633.0k	3	2010-10-31	31 Jan, 2011	2010-12-28	0.5%	152.5%	2210%
-1.6600	0.000	1.6800	5.4m	-1.2m	2	2010-07-31	31 Jan, 2011	2010-09-29	-1.0%	134.9%	48.1%
-0.7100	0.000	1.7000	5.0m	-513.0k	1	2010-04-30	31 Jan, 2011	2010-06-24	-0.4%	61.9%	968.8%
31 Jan, 2010
-1.8500	0.000	1.7000	4.8m	-1.3m	4	2010-01-31	31 Jan, 2010	2010-03-26	-1.1%	4393.3%	44.3%
-0.0400	0.000	1.7200	5.5m	-30.0k	3	2009-10-31	31 Jan, 2010	2009-12-28	0.0%	98.7%	99.2%
-3.1900	0.000	1.7200	4.3m	-2.3m	2	2009-07-31	31 Jan, 2010	2009-09-24	-1.9%	4733.3%	39.3%
-0.0700	0.000	1.7500	5.0m	-48.0k	1	2009-04-30	31 Jan, 2010	2009-06-25	0.0%	99.1%	97.8%
31 Jan, 2009
-7.0900	0.000	1.7500	3.8m	-5.2m	4	2009-01-31	31 Jan, 2009	2009-03-30	-4.1%	29.7%	635.4%
-5.4700	0.000	1.8300	5.2m	-4.0m	3	2008-10-31	31 Jan, 2009	2008-12-24	-3.0%	4.1%	725.2%
-5.2600	0.000	1.8800	4.4m	-3.8m	2	2008-07-31	31 Jan, 2009	2008-09-29	-2.8%	71.8%	489.5%
-3.0600	0.000	1.9400	6.1m	-2.2m	1	2008-04-30	31 Jan, 2009	2008-06-26	-1.6%	217.3%	371.9%
31 Jan, 2008
-0.9600	1.000	1.9700	6.0m	-701.0k	4	2008-01-31	31 Jan, 2008	2008-03-31	-0.5%	210.2%	130.7%
0.8700	0.000	1.9800	6.4m	636.0k	3	2007-10-31	31 Jan, 2008	2007-12-28	0.4%	35.2%	8.9%
1.3500	0.000	1.9700	9.2m	981.0k	2	2007-07-31	31 Jan, 2008	2007-09-27	0.7%	19.9%	57.3%
1.1300	0.000	1.9800	11.3m	818.0k	1	2007-04-30	31 Jan, 2008	2007-06-28	0.6%	55.5%	56%
31 Jan, 2007
2.5300	2.500	1.9600	11.2m	1.8m	4	2007-01-31	31 Jan, 2007	2007-03-29	1.3%	214.6%	29.8%
0.8000	0.000	1.9400	7.8m	584.0k	3	2006-10-31	31 Jan, 2007	2006-12-29	0.4%	74.6%	78.6%
3.1600	0.000	1.9300	9.6m	2.3m	2	2006-07-31	31 Jan, 2007	2006-09-29	1.6%	23.7%	63.1%
2.5600	0.000	1.9300	9.7m	1.9m	1	2006-04-30	31 Jan, 2007	2006-06-29	1.3%	23.4%	60.9%
31 Jan, 2006
2.0700	4.500	1.9100	8.8m	1.5m	4	2006-01-31	31 Jan, 2006	2006-03-30	1.1%	44.8%	45.9%
3.7500	0.000	1.8800	9.8m	2.7m	3	2005-10-31	31 Jan, 2006	2005-12-30	2.0%	56.2%	42.3%
8.5700	0.000	1.8500	13.9m	6.2m	2	2005-07-31	31 Jan, 2006	2005-09-22	4.6%	30.8%	18.9%
6.5500	0.000	1.8100	13.0m	4.8m	1	2005-04-30	31 Jan, 2006	2005-06-24	3.6%	70.8%	4%
31 Jan, 2005
3.8400	4.500	1.7400	13.1m	2.8m	4	2005-01-31	31 Jan, 2005	2005-03-30	2.2%	41.1%	39.9%
6.5200	0.000	1.7000	12.0m	4.7m	3	2004-10-31	31 Jan, 2005	2004-12-30	3.8%	9.6%	10.8%
7.2100	0.000	1.6400	12.9m	5.2m	2	2004-07-31	31 Jan, 2005	2004-09-29	4.4%	14.4%	34%
6.3100	0.000	1.6000	11.1m	4.6m	1	2004-04-30	31 Jan, 2005	2004-06-22	3.9%	1.3%	20.4%
31 Jan, 2004
6.4000	3.000	1.5300	12.0m	4.6m	4	2004-01-31	31 Jan, 2004	2004-03-30	4.2%	8.6%	25.6%
5.9000	0.000	1.4700	13.1m	4.3m	3	2003-10-31	31 Jan, 2004	2003-12-26	4.0%	9.3%	50.2%
8.0900	0.000	2.1200	11.8m	3.9m	2	2003-07-31	31 Jan, 2004	2003-09-26	3.8%	2.8%	1.8%
7.8700	0.000	2.0600	10.4m	3.8m	1	2003-04-30	31 Jan, 2004	2003-06-25	3.8%	2.9%	4.1%
31 Jan, 2003
7.6500	3.000	1.9800	12.7m	3.7m	4	2003-01-31	31 Jan, 2003	2003-03-31	3.9%	29.9%	117.8%
5.8900	0.000	1.9100	11.3m	2.8m	3	2002-10-31	31 Jan, 2003	2002-12-30	3.1%	0%	2.2%

Financial Year	Revenue ('000)	Net ('000)	EPS	DP%	Net %	Report
30 Apr, 2026	70,654	3,895	0.8800	-
30 Apr, 2025	109,122	10,006	2.7500	-	36.9%	View
30 Apr, 2024	70,532	7,310	2.8400	-	50.3%	View
30 Apr, 2023	40,745	4,865	2.0400	-	553.9%	View
31 Jan, 2023	43,644	744	0.3700	-	535.9%	View
31 Jan, 2022	84,237	117	0.0400	-	75.0%	View
31 Jan, 2021	27,824	468	0.5900	-	159.3%	View
31 Jan, 2020	14,072	-789	-0.9800	-	14.7%	View
31 Jan, 2019	12,967	-925	-1.1600	-	1,270.9%	View
31 Jan, 2018	13,204	79	0.0500	-	102.0%	View
31 Jan, 2017	10,933	-3,877	-5.3300	-	607.5%	View
31 Jan, 2016	12,900	764	1.0400	-	51.9%	View
31 Jan, 2015	12,707	503	0.6900	-	142.9%	View
31 Jan, 2014	10,854	-1,173	-1.6100	-	90.6%	View
31 Jan, 2013	12,994	-12,460	-17.1400	-	77.8%	View
31 Jan, 2012	14,939	-56,233	-77.3400	-	7,417.8%	View
31 Jan, 2011	20,707	-748	-1.0400	-	80.0%	View
31 Jan, 2010	19,556	-3,746	-5.1500	-	75.3%	View
31 Jan, 2009	19,477	-15,176	-20.8800	-	975.2%	View
31 Jan, 2008	32,890	1,734	2.3900	0.42	73.6%	View
31 Jan, 2007	38,349	6,580	9.0500	0.28	56.8%	View
31 Jan, 2006	45,432	15,217	20.9400	0.21	12.2%	View
31 Jan, 2005	49,167	17,327	23.8800	0.19	4.3%	View
31 Jan, 2004	47,342	16,613	28.2600	0.11	154.3%	View
31 Jan, 2003	23,955	6,534	13.5400	0.22		View

Announced	Financial Year	Subject	EX Date	Payment Date	Amount	Indicator
31 Jan, 2008
02 Jun 2008	31 Jan 2008	First and Final Dividend	25 Jun 2008	07 Jul 2008	1.0000	Percentage	View
31 Jan, 2007
04 Jun 2007	31 Jan 2007	First and Final Dividend	27 Jun 2007	09 Jul 2007	2.5000	Percentage	View
31 Jan, 2006
05 Jun 2006	31 Jan 2006	First and Final Dividend	28 Jun 2006	07 Jul 2006	4.5000	Percentage	View
31 Jan, 2005
27 Jun 2005	31 Jan 2005	First and Final Dividend	20 Jul 2005	28 Jul 2005	4.5000	Percentage	View
31 Jan, 2004
25 Jun 2004	31 Jan 2004	First and Final Dividend	20 Jul 2004	28 Jul 2004	0.0300	RM	View
31 Jan, 2003
21 May 2003	31 Jan 2003	First and Final Dividend	10 Jun 2003	11 Jul 2003	3.0000	Percentage	View
31 Jan, 2002
23 May 2002	31 Jan 2002	First and Final Dividend	19 Jun 2002	17 Jul 2002	3.0000	Percentage	View

Announced	EX Date	Subject	Ratio
01 Oct 2024	14 Oct 2024	Bonus Issue (warrant)	1.0000 : 2.0000	View
12 Sep 2024	26 Sep 2024	Bonus Issue	2.0000 : 5.0000	View
22 Apr 2021	06 May 2021	Bonus Issue (warrant)	1.0000 : 2.0000	View
21 Jul 2003	06 Aug 2003	Bonus Issue	1 : 2	View

Name	Price	Change	Volume	Gearing	Premium	Premium %	Maturity
XL-WB	0.155	0.005	1,061	4.74	-0.05	-6.8	2027-10-16	View

Announced	Date Change	Type	Shares	Name
13 May 2025	08 May 2025	Disposed	9,000,000	MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC
08 May 2025	06 May 2025	Acquired	850,000	MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC
08 May 2025	06 May 2025	Acquired	850,000	MORGAN STANLEY
07 May 2025	05 May 2025	Acquired	777,300	MORGAN STANLEY
25 Mar 2025	21 Mar 2025	Disposed	4,400,000	MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC
21 Mar 2025	20 Mar 2025	Others	381,960	MR NG MIN LIN
14 Mar 2025	13 Mar 2025	Others	172,040	MR NG MIN LIN
12 Mar 2025	11 Mar 2025	Others	86,000	MR NG MIN LIN
11 Mar 2025	07 Mar 2025	Acquired	310,000	MORGAN STANLEY
11 Mar 2025	07 Mar 2025	Acquired	310,000	MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP, INC
04 Mar 2025	03 Mar 2025	Others	860,000	MR NG MIN LIN
04 Mar 2025	03 Mar 2025	Acquired	380,000	MR NG MIN LIN
04 Mar 2025	04 Mar 2025	Acquired	80,000	MR NG MIN LIN
26 Feb 2025	25 Feb 2025	Disposed	1,000,000	MR NG MIN LIN
26 Feb 2025	26 Feb 2025	Acquired	1,152,500	MR NG MIN LIN
18 Feb 2025	17 Feb 2025	Others	100,000	MR JASON FONG JIAN SHENG

Recent News

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29 Dec, 2025 20:46pm - 1 month ago Sinchew
Stocks with momentum on June 23, 2025: XL Holdings, Maxim, Magma, Green Ocean, Wentel Engineering

theedgemalaysia.com highlighted five stocks with momentum at Bursa Malaysia’s afternoon close on Monday. Only one showed positive momentum, while the other four showed negative momentum.

23 Jun, 2025 13:34pm - 7 months ago TheEdge
Stocks with momentum on June 19, 2025: Maxim Global, XL Holdings, Auro Holdings, Magma Group

theedgemalaysia.com highlighted four stocks with momentum at Bursa Malaysia’s afternoon close on Thursday. Two stocks showed positive momentum, while the other two showed negative momentum.

19 Jun, 2025 13:40pm - 8 months ago TheEdge
Stocks with momentum on June 16, 2025: Hengyuan, Rex, Petron Malaysia, XL Holdings, Toyo Ventures, Destini

theedgemalaysia.com highlighted six stocks with momentum at Bursa Malaysia’s afternoon close on Monday. Two stocks showed positive momentum, while four stocks showed negative momentum.

16 Jun, 2025 13:36pm - 8 months ago TheEdge
Stocks with momentum on June 13, 2025: Destini, JAKS Resources, Poh Kong, XL Holdings, Globaltec

KUALA LUMPUR (June 13): theedgemalaysia.com highlighted five stocks with momentum at Bursa Malaysia’s afternoon close on Friday. Four stocks showed positive momentum, while one stock showed negative momentum.

13 Jun, 2025 14:33pm - 8 months ago TheEdge

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Comments

Asyraf Ibrahim

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seems stuck at 0.735

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Previous replies (5)

拯救散户们

U use free version?

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Owen Lee

Nope............

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Owen Lee

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XL Holdings（XL）｜MBOW 3.5-Pro 专业分析
一、结论先行（给决策用）
主情景：回踩整理 > 继续直冲
趋势级别：反弹结构成立，但仍属中级反弹
当前阶段：反弹中后段（非起爆）
二、MBOW 核心评分
模块
评分
说明
结构（Structure）
6.5 / 10
周线已脱离底部区，但月线仍在大云下
速度（SPD）
8.2 / 10
日线斜率过陡，明显透支
量能（OBV）
7.8 / 10
资金确认，但存在一次性冲量特征
周期协同
6.0 / 10
短周期强，长周期压制仍在
风险暴露
中偏高
高位震荡 + 回吐风险
SPD 说明（回应你之前的点）
MBOW 3.5-Pro 中 SPD 上限就是 10，目前 XL 属于高但未极端。
三、各周期状态（只留关键）
日线（D）
价格沿 MA/转换线推升
Stoch & Fisher 高位钝化
→ 随时可能进入时间换空间
周线（W）
明确反弹趋势
仍在云边 / 云下
→ 周线不支持“连续加速拉升”
月线（M）
仍是反弹修复
未完成趋势翻转
→ 决定了：不可能一路直冲
四、两种路径概率（量化）
路径 A：继续上冲（惯性延伸）
概率：≈ 30%
前提
日线不跌破 0.70
成交量继续放大而非缩量推
空间
0.80 – 0.88
属于情绪延伸段
路径 B：回踩后再走（主情景）
概率：≈ 70%
回踩级别
浅回踩：0.68 – 0.70
结构回踩：0.62 – 0.65（周线支撑）
意义
回踩不破结构 = 下一段才有空间
直接不回踩 = 后面空间会被压扁
五、关键价格（MBOW 3.5-Pro）
强支撑：0.62
结构支撑：0.68
短线防守：0.70
反弹阻力：0.80 / 0.88
六、操作结论（不讲废话）
已有仓位
✔ 0.74 上方不加
✔ 等回踩决定去留
想加仓
❌ 不追高
✔ 只在 0.68 或 0.62 等结构
错误预期
❌ 把这段当主升浪
这是反弹中的强段，不是牛段
一句 MBOW 人话总结
现在是“涨出来的风险”，
不是“没涨的机会”。
回踩，是下一段能不能走远的前提。

4 days · translate ·