Fibo莫问's comment on QES. All Comments

Fibo莫问
7 Like · Reply
violation 0.5............
cheng
not necessary benefitting natgate, 杰. it pretty much depends on where do they want to produce their optical transceiver. Lumentum has a big plant in Thailand and Coherent too. Coherent has presence in Malaysia; mainly in Perak. X-ray inspection equipment plays a big part in silicon photonics inspection and QES needs the capability/distribution rights to complete its inspection equipment portfolio.
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Amin Abdullah
Cheng… what price is nearer to raytech’s price ? Tq
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cheng
0.53 is Raytech's price, AA
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Amin Abdullah
@ thanks cheng … allin 0.53 hihi
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cheng
QR in two weeks time. The key to higher profitability sits with the mfg orderbook for current fy26. Boss has to deliver the machines timely. It was -8mil hit last fy25.
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Fibo莫问
Will breaks 0.6 soon
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cheng
Hopefully the boss will focus on delivering results as much as being in the media, fibo :)
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The Undertaker
0.60 so thick, looks very hard to break
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cheng
calling "a few moments later..." :)
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Amin Abdullah
The thicker the better to break haha
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Fibo莫问
Hahahaha cheng : I like yr few moments later
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cheng
lol... hopefully fibo
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cheng
glad that mr. market responded to the call of a few moments later :) congrats to all shareholders
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Tok Tiong
investman. gogogo
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Amin Abdullah
Wow let’s go to floor seven hihihi
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The Undertaker
Tiong he already exit right? Don’t kacau him jor haha
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Tok Tiong
He macam go play gloves dy. no sure if he got left some QES in hand
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cheng
towards fair value of mid of sixth floor :) 7th floor needs substantial mfg orderbook; higher than 35mil as of Q1FY26. Better still, recurring revenue from medtech.
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The Undertaker
Time to ask sifu Fibo calculate liao haha
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Fibo莫问
Wow....... Congrats everyone.... Nice
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Fibo莫问
Let me explain small wave n inter wave
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Fibo莫问
Small wave 1.382=0.670, 1.618=0.710
Inter wave is last up trend always complicated, it has 0.63, 0.65, n 0.17+0.54=0.710, I believe it can reach 0.710 or higher
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Fibo莫问
Or u draw line from top 0.44 touch 0.51 u should c touching 0.6, very easy , so now u can c today resistance but no worry about it
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Fibo莫问
大家耐心点,我的macd黄金交叉了,问题是。。。我沒票。。。lol
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cheng
only the boss can complete the rounding turn/bottom to mid of 7th floor by delivering the machines timely and securing the manufacturing agreement with Raytech. Else, it will stay at 6th floor until then.
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MrPoland YMC
Alex @@可以看看samchem吗
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Fibo莫问
YMC 我算最短期先,1.382=0.605,1.618=0.620
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Fibo莫问
今天的红蜡烛不美,再过几天如果你还要玩再问我,因为怕会有 violation
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Fibo莫问
原来业绩出了,其实全浪都走1.618, 再上-层就是1.382=0.670, 1.618=0.710
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Fibo莫问
意思就是短期的浪停在605或上去620过后小回调再上就是上-层我给你的价
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Fibo莫问
还有srkkai, 它现在才走完0.59, 上次庄家玩散户而已,今天才有 confirmation, 支撑0.382=0.550 ,0.5=0.540 ,上次已经無效,想知道支撑后价多少就要破590才可以確定,所以股票就是这样,等到確定后就要买高点,要像我买在底价就要会止盈如果破不了新高
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MrPoland YMC
oh 意思是srkk 这浪高几率要上0.61了吗
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Fibo莫问
Srkkai 如果破0.59,就看这个数据,0.605 , 0.610 , 1.618=0.635, 2.618=0.690 最后一个很少有,前2个机会很大,我们不能卖在最高的有赚就好,第一和第五浪比较复杂的,只有第三浪1.618直線冲上准确度最高
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cheng
qr incoming by this week. slowly but surely :)
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Ng Wai Keong
Q2 业绩会不会亮眼。。。。。。。。。。。。
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Fibo莫问
现在q股图表比较模糊,还记得我给的1.618=0.615, 现在碰到0.620 可以说是 extension 而已,回调第四波0.382=0.56 , 0.5=0.545 ,今天碰到0.236=0.580,也可以配合好业绩带飞,继续观察
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The Undertaker
遇到市场情绪不好,特朗普天天讲故事,应该难起哈哈
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cheng
Xi will meet Trump at White House for the first time in Sep. Plus, US Fed interest rate hike probability is now lowered to below 40%; in fact its just 33%
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Fibo莫问
Tmr....... Limit Up........ Lol
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Amin Abdullah
Tomorrow many counters will limit up hahaha
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cheng
good performance indeed :) just one little note - QES disposed off the 30% stake in the JV with Applied Engineering. Cannot recalled how much was the total investment in that JV. Can be good or bad decision; good as it stops the losses from the JV and if it is unlikely for the JV to grow further, bad as its part of manufacturing segment (low revenue high margin) which is key to maintain higher profitability for QES compared to distribution segment (main revenue low margin).
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cheng
7th floor incoming?
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cheng
JV with Applied Engineering has ended. I hope boss will announce the MoU with RTS progress - preferably mfg agreement for RTS/Unicomp instruments/x-ray inspection equipments and not distribution. after all, the current pp is for RTS.
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The Undertaker
Terrible market sentiments, index -20… wow
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cheng
Zetrix is the star performer today. still waiting for RTS pp price :)
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庸人
你阿妈,涨一天跌一天,真的没用的股
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The Undertaker
Price control by operators, hard to fight
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Fibo莫问
果然不出我所料,620只是 extension 剛走完第第三波,回调0.382=0.560 , 0.5=0.545
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The Undertaker
马股为什么突然大崩了哈哈哈
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Fibo莫问
幸好我还有油股LU 科技都被压
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cheng
unfortunately all the attention and hopes went to zetrix, undertaker :( but the good news is - we may be able to get attractive quotes soon :)
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Tok Tiong
PP no done yet. 535 still need to hold
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The Undertaker
Cheng I think after pp also same. Market sentiments toward tech stocks are too bearish at the moment.
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cheng
can also be opportunity, undertaker :)
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Tok Tiong
PP price tank 99
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cheng
haha. thanks to RTS :) However, the boss need to do more in order for it to fly higher above 6th floor - manufacturing agreement with RTS.
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Fibo莫问
I saw 3 counter same doji, qes eipower dufu nice
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The Undertaker
Cheng, they got record high orderbook and potentially highest revenue for FY26. But the share price looks like control by shark so 0.7 still quite far away.
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Fibo莫问
Still very week, violation 0.470
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cheng
indeed, undertaker. give it another week or two :)
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Tok Tiong
535 在 pp完成前不会破的。。
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cheng
give it a week or two. qes depending on (1) market sentiments and we have seen it in the past to the extent some were commenting on the bankers :) (2) the margin depends heavily on manufacturing segment and fy26 mfg segment is on the positive side of it. hopefully, RTS/Unicomp mfg agreement in the pipeline post pp.
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cheng
as for sentiment, we will know within a week or two - US Fed interest rate decision by mid of Sep. its been volatile recently and market is responding to changes in the probability of a rate increase versus unchanged if you will.
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Fibo莫问
0.618=0.550 m back, but not yet done all, may b few days later
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Fibo莫问
560不是要卖四百多粒吗??不见了。。。。。lol
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The Undertaker
Fibo,股市感觉又要崩了,油价过100美元
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Fibo莫问
这就交给那疯子了,他说了算。。。🤣🤣🤣
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cheng
70pc probability of rate hike
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cheng
90pc probability of a rate hike. market discount incoming.
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cheng
volatility incoming - (Bloomberg) -- President Donald Trump said he is not worried that Chinese President Xi Jinping will cancel a highly anticipated visit later this month."No, I'm not worried about that," Trump told reporters as he attended the Irish Open in Doonbeg on Sunday. "We have a great relationship. He wants to get along, and we want it. We're going to get along." Trump's comments follow a recent report that China had warned the US that it would scrap Xi's upcoming visit if the US approved new arms sales to Taiwan, a major point of contention for Beijing. Trump has said he is weighing a $14 billion arms deal with Taiwan, the self-governing democratic island, that China sees as part of its country. Xi has warned the US president in the past that there is a potential for conflict if the issue of Taiwan is mismanaged.

Trump has previously said he talked to Xi "a lot" about Taiwan during their summit in May, and said in an interview at the time with Fox News that he wanted Beijing to "cool down" about the issue. The leaders of the world's two largest economies are slated to meet face-to-face later this month in Washington, as they seek to manage tensions over Taiwan as well as trade, artificial intelligence and the Middle East. While the May summit was marked by displays of warmth between the two leaders, there have been fresh strains between the countries, in particular over the Iran war. China is the main buyer of Iranian oil and Beijing has resisted Trump's calls to cut off economic ties with Tehran. The US president has sought to ramp up economic pressure on the Islamic Republic in a bid to force it to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the critical energy waterway largely shuttered since the war's launch, and to strike a deal to end the conflict.

Xi, for his part, has appeared in no rush to help Trump end a war the US launched alongside Israel and which is now in its seventh month. Taking stronger action against Chinese firms that support Iran's economy would also risk bigger blowback for the US. Both nations appear eager to keep relations on track following a tit-for-tat tariff war last year that unnerved financial markets and raised worries about a global economic downturn. A subsequent trade truce has largely held despite persistent tensions over export controls for rare earth minerals and cutting-edge technologies. That truce, though, is set to expire Nov. 10.
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Like · 2 weeks · translate
cheng
AI bubble in the making with AI related IPOs across the globe - IPO markets have spent the past several years caught between tides, with activity levels trailing historical averages. A new cycle is emerging in global IPO markets, driven by broadening sector momentum and the increasing influence of AI and related infrastructure themes. After years of subdued IPO issuance, investor appetite for IPOs has returned and companies are eager to catch the wave. In the US, where several trillion-dollar candidates could tap the public markets by year-end, overall IPO market sentiment is running particularly high. https://www.ey.com/en_gl/insights/ipo/trends#27579638?38625-item-24383ca8a6-tab
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cheng
92pc probability of a rate hike. More market discounts incoming
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Admiral Adama
rate hike already a "done" deal. What matter is what come next?
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cheng
the meeting between Trump and Xi at the end of Sep. That will set the stage until earnings season in Oct. For now, safe to assume market repricing AI, DCs and chip stocks given the movement in photonics and recent semiconductor etfs trends.
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cheng
SHANGHAI, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Chinese investors are piling into foreign assets, especially U.S. stock funds, after regulators lifted outbound quotas, unlocking pent-up demand as domestic yields are at rock bottom and Beijing ‌tightens unofficial routes for moving money abroad. While China has cracked down on what it deems illegal overseas ‌investing through online brokerages, it has simultaneously broadened authorised channels to foreign markets.Late last month China's foreign exchange regulator raised the outstanding Qualified ​Domestic Institutional Investor quota by $6.8 billion to a record $183 billion. The speed with which U.S.-focused funds moved to curb inflows just days later underscores investors' scramble for exposure to Wall Street.

The daily inflow cap on a QDII fund tracking the Nasdaq 100 was raised from 10 yuan to 5,000 yuan on September 9. Just a day later, its fund manager ‌Wanjia Asset Management sharply limited inflows again ⁠to 100 yuan daily for an individual investor. "It means there was explosive inflows so the fund manager needed to limit the subscriptions," said Ivan Shi, head of research at ⁠fund consultancy Z-Ben Advisors. "There remains huge appetite in China for U.S. tech stocks." The rush overseas highlights Beijing's growing challenge in stemming capital outflows. Confidence in the domestic economy remains fragile, China's 10-year government bond yield sits more than three percentage points below ​U.S. ​Treasury yields, and the local stock market has broadly lagged ​the double-digit gains delivered by U.S. equities this ‌year.
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cheng
there could be spillover to KLSE though US, HK and Europe maybe the primary targets for China's investors. After all, Malaysia is approved in the list of countries of QDII destinations previously - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) confirmed Malaysia’s approval under a previous memorandum of understanding with the Malaysian Securities Commission. The country joins Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Germany, Japan, Luxembourg, Singapore, South Korea, the UK and the US as an approved jurisdiction. The agreement permits approved Chinese fund management and securities companies to invest in Malaysian equities, fixed-income products and other securities.
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cheng
25 bps hike done deal and another rate hike targeted in Dec'26; 50% probability of 25 bps and 40% probability of 50 bps. fuhh... US Fed going aggressively to push inflation down?
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Tok Tiong
PP completed. listing on Thursday
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cheng
pp done, rts has a stake in qes now and boss yet to announce the outcome of the MoU with RTS - mfg agreement or distribution agreement?
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cheng
back to 6th floor, where you should be
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My Way
would be better to climb 2
more floors,8th floor is preferable afterall chinese prefer 8 numerical
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cheng
that depends on the boss. more mfg orders or mfg agreement with RTS will be needed as mfg segment has higher margin compared to distribution.
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Fibo莫问
Wow........ Nice, congrats
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Amin Abdullah
Alex ada naik ini kapal ke??
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Fibo莫问
Tak......... Boss tendang I keluar...... Lol
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tony wang
No Alex no party. When Alex back, 7th or 8th floor not a dream.
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Fibo莫问
This time if nothing happen u guys can stay at 0.7××
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Amin Abdullah
Wowww melompat lol haha
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cheng
boss's integrity on the line - the MoU with RTS/Unicomp. RTS/Unicomp became substantial shareholder of QES now. We should expect boss to announce the closure of the MoU. Anything less than a mfg agreement will be a disappointment.
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hong hong
No problem.anou is out.raytech sg bought 10% 53sen
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cheng
rts has indeed became substantial shareholder after subscribing to the pp and qes received the funding accordingly. there was an earlier MoU before the pp plan announcement; collabs with RTS/Unicomp. The outcome of the MoU will determine whether QES can move higher above the 7th floor.
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Fibo莫问
老虎不发威你们当病猫🤣🤣🤣
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The Undertaker
压下来为了完成pp? 今天到买量也强。看来Cheng 说的很准哈哈, 不过要再上的话应该很难,很大block
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Fibo莫问
有了今天这支青瓜应该沒问题吧,我帮你们打气
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Heng Heng
正常吧,pp完了,就要推高给卖回散户接票。。。。哈哈
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The Undertaker
Fibo 来帮忙算算一下haha
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cheng
this pp for qes is different as in it is specifically for RTS/Unicomp. The earnings projection and orderbook prior to the pp / for 1HFY2026 have been promising particularly the contribution from mfg segment versus 8mil hit in FY25. Personally, I think it should be at mid of sixth floor. With the pp, there could be some dilution but the strong contract liabilities for q1fy26 and q2fy26 should provide the tailwind to offset the dilution. So, it will be really nice if QES can secure mfg agreement for Unicomp's X-ray inspection equipment which will complete the inspection equipment portfolio for QES (optical to x-ray) and giving it a booster to move higher to 7th floor. Photonics industry requires x-ray equipment and will be nice to have such offering. Just my personal opinions, could be wrong.
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Fibo莫问
中浪沒变(以前给过)1.382=0.670 , 1.618=0.710 ,现在说里面的浪=小浪,它是走最后-波,因为第四波跌太多所以1.618=0.665 ,不比中浪高,只有比较牛的2.618=0.755, 只要不贪心0.71左右应该可以panai了
Like · 6 days · translate
cheng
“We will extend what we call the ‘Busan Agreement’ — the economic détente between the two countries that was scheduled to end on Nov. 10 — that is going to be extended until Jan. 10,” Bessent said in an interview on Fox News Channel.

Bessent said it’s possible a larger economic package will be agreed upon by January. But it’s also possible to “just roll the current deal” and extend it further.

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/us-china-extend-trade-truce-trump-rcna599525
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